Investment Relevance
We have a stellar 12-year record of forecasting and analysis built on BCA’s seven decades of macroeconomic expertise. No provider of geopolitical analysis has a firmer grounding in investment research.
Reliable Analytical Framework
We focus on actions, not rhetoric. We analyze the measurable limitations facing nations and economies – what politicians are capable of achieving, not just what they want. We emphasize geopolitical opportunities as well as risks and reveal when markets are overrating or underrating geopolitical narratives.
Non-Partisanship
Responds to our clients’ interests, not partisan biases. Coverage is politically neutral, centered on financial markets, and takes a global perspective.
Matt Gertken speaks about his BCA experience
Our Calls
Geopolitical Strategy has a proven track record of helping clients make the right calls.
Sep 2023
Predicted Middle East crisis and favored US equities over global.
Jun 2022
Predicted China slowdown post-covid, went long other emerging markets.
Jan 2022
Predicted Ukraine war, shorted the Russian ruble.
Mar 2020
Predicted Biden’s election, went long stocks on fiscal stimulus.
Jan 2020
Predicted 2020 bear market, called for de-risking.
What is included
Rapid Insights
Short and sweet comments on breaking news or market moves.
Bi-Weekly Reports
Big-picture analysis of policy issues affecting global regions and asset classes.
Special Reports
In-depth, forward-looking analysis of country risks and long-term themes and views.
Quantitative GeoRisk Indicators
Updated monthly with analysis focused on the month ahead.
Quarterly Risk Briefing
Digest of our quantifiable risk ratings, scenario probabilities, and market impacts.
Conference Calls
Personal and video meetings, plus email correspondence to answer critical questions.
Webcasts
Presentations and round tables to discuss the latest research with lively Q&A.
Geopolitical Calendar
A handy list of scheduled political, economic, and financial events updated monthly.
Matt Gertken