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US Investment Strategy

Continuously monitors the evolution of the business cycle, credit cycle and monetary policy to inform US strategy outlook and asset allocation recommendations.

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Focused on practical applications

We are investors too, and know what’s relevant to busy investors and managers. Our focus is generating actionable recommendations.

Our chief strategist has filled multiple roles in his quarter century on Wall Street – sell-side trader, buy-side trader, analyst and strategist and trusted independent counsel. 

We don’t do jargon

If you can’t say it in terms that are readily understandable by non-specialists, you don’t know it. We write and speak for laypeople, not Econ PhDs.

We don’t waste your time

Less is more, especially for busy investment professionals.

The simplest answers are the best

We don’t have any regression models with a dozen inputs but we’re experts at applying a supply-and-demand framework to a multitude of economic and market questions.

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"BCA doesn’t underwrite securities, trade them, manage money or offer any other sort of financial service. All we sell is our thinking, and that makes it the best place I know to pursue investment strategy. 

Being able to say what I believe without compromise means I’ll be judged on the merits of my rationale and that’s all anyone can ask."

Doug Peta, Chief Strategist, U.S. Investment Strategy

Our Calls

US Investment Strategy has a proven track record of helping clients make the right calls.

2024

Focus on consumers

Get the consumer right and you’ll get the US economy right.

2024

Bunker Hill mode

EW equities until you see the whites of the recession’s eyes.

2022-23

Overweight equities

Low expectations make fundamental misses unlikely and bombed-out sentiment leaves little downside if earnings do miss.

2022-23

No ’23 recession

Pandemic stimulus measures will have a lengthy half-life.

2022

There will be no wage-price spiral

Consensus fears are badly exaggerated.

2020-21

Policymakers versus the virus

Policymaker actions will boost risk assets.

What is included

US Investment Strategy - What's Included

Strategy Insights

Concise, immediate analysis of breaking news or market moves.

Strategy Reports

Bi-weekly analysis of financial markets and the economy.

Special Reports

In-depth analysis of critical economic factors or sector/industry issues with broad ramifications.

Monthly Webcasts

High-level live presentation of our views, followed by participant Q&A.

One-on-one Meetings

Personal and video meetings devoted to client interests 

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