Insights Gain insight into our independent global macro research through these complimentary reports All China & Emerging Markets Commodities Economy Geopolitics Monetary Policy Private Markets Apply Commodities Is Gold A Good Place To Hide? Despite the recent market rout, gold’s performance has maintained its leadership position. Global equities are up 7.5% i... Commodities As A Late-Cycle Investment According to BCA Research’s Commodity & Energy Strategy service, commodity prices typically rally toward the end of ... Oil Prices Responding To Subdued Demand Conditions Brent prices have fallen 6% so far in July, reversing their June gains. Interestingly, these losses are occurring d... Monetary Policy How The US Could Cheat A GDP Recession According to BCA Research’s Counterpoint Strategy service, the post-pandemic US economy has inverted from its usual ‘dem... The Sahm Rule Is Not A Leading Indicator For The Economy Market and economic observers have devoted a lot of attention to the Sahm Rule following July’s employment report, and w... UK Services Inflation Still Too High For BoE's Comfort UK’s CPI growth stands right on the Bank of England’s (BoE) 2% target. However, services inflation remains sticky, growi... Private Markets Transitions To Serious Delinquencies Will Cap Credit Card Loan Growth Consumer credit growth disappointed in June. Total credit outstanding rose by USD 8.9 billion, in June, lower than May's... Early-Stage VC: Aerospace & Space Technology According to BCA Research’s Private Markets & Alternatives service, Artificial Intelligence is old news. Given such,... Will Private Investment Save Growth? BCA Research has been writing extensively on how consumption fueled by excess savings has been propping up the US econom... China & Emerging Markets Eurozone CPI At 3-Year Low Paves Way For September Cut After surprising to the upside in July on higher energy costs, Eurozone CPI resumed its deceleration in August. Headline... No Improvement In Chinese Inflation China’s CPI and PPI prints surprised to the upside on Friday. Producer prices contracted -0.8%y/y, unchanged from June, ... What’s Ailing ASEAN Markets? The four ASEAN stock markets (Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, and the Philippines) have fallen in absolute terms over the... Geopolitics If Trump Wins Sunny States, But Dems Hold Pennsylvania According to BCA Research’s US Political Strategy service, there is a strange quirk about Walz and the state of Nebraska... Investment Implications Of Election and Trump Policies According to BCA Research’s US Equity Strategy service, the stock market outperformance in 2024 thus far is an unusual p... Trump Wins And Stocks Boom? According to BCA Research’s Geopolitical Strategy service, Trump’s agenda is structurally inflationary and would eventua... Economy What Could Durably Reverse US Equities’ Relative Outperformance? According to our Bank Credit Analyst service, an inflection point in the relative performance of US stocks is not likely... CEOs More Cautious, But Still See No Recession The Conference Board measure of CEO Confidence declined in Q3, from 54 to 52, its lowest level so far this year. Still, ... An Iced Beveridge? BCA Research’s Global Investment Strategy service remained tactically bullish on stocks for most of 2023, but shifted to...
Is Gold A Good Place To Hide? Despite the recent market rout, gold’s performance has maintained its leadership position. Global equities are up 7.5% i...
Commodities As A Late-Cycle Investment According to BCA Research’s Commodity & Energy Strategy service, commodity prices typically rally toward the end of ...
Oil Prices Responding To Subdued Demand Conditions Brent prices have fallen 6% so far in July, reversing their June gains. Interestingly, these losses are occurring d...
How The US Could Cheat A GDP Recession According to BCA Research’s Counterpoint Strategy service, the post-pandemic US economy has inverted from its usual ‘dem...
The Sahm Rule Is Not A Leading Indicator For The Economy Market and economic observers have devoted a lot of attention to the Sahm Rule following July’s employment report, and w...
UK Services Inflation Still Too High For BoE's Comfort UK’s CPI growth stands right on the Bank of England’s (BoE) 2% target. However, services inflation remains sticky, growi...
Transitions To Serious Delinquencies Will Cap Credit Card Loan Growth Consumer credit growth disappointed in June. Total credit outstanding rose by USD 8.9 billion, in June, lower than May's...
Early-Stage VC: Aerospace & Space Technology According to BCA Research’s Private Markets & Alternatives service, Artificial Intelligence is old news. Given such,...
Will Private Investment Save Growth? BCA Research has been writing extensively on how consumption fueled by excess savings has been propping up the US econom...
Eurozone CPI At 3-Year Low Paves Way For September Cut After surprising to the upside in July on higher energy costs, Eurozone CPI resumed its deceleration in August. Headline...
No Improvement In Chinese Inflation China’s CPI and PPI prints surprised to the upside on Friday. Producer prices contracted -0.8%y/y, unchanged from June, ...
What’s Ailing ASEAN Markets? The four ASEAN stock markets (Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, and the Philippines) have fallen in absolute terms over the...
If Trump Wins Sunny States, But Dems Hold Pennsylvania According to BCA Research’s US Political Strategy service, there is a strange quirk about Walz and the state of Nebraska...
Investment Implications Of Election and Trump Policies According to BCA Research’s US Equity Strategy service, the stock market outperformance in 2024 thus far is an unusual p...
Trump Wins And Stocks Boom? According to BCA Research’s Geopolitical Strategy service, Trump’s agenda is structurally inflationary and would eventua...
What Could Durably Reverse US Equities’ Relative Outperformance? According to our Bank Credit Analyst service, an inflection point in the relative performance of US stocks is not likely...
CEOs More Cautious, But Still See No Recession The Conference Board measure of CEO Confidence declined in Q3, from 54 to 52, its lowest level so far this year. Still, ...
An Iced Beveridge? BCA Research’s Global Investment Strategy service remained tactically bullish on stocks for most of 2023, but shifted to...
